TSX Stock Market Update

This week were looking at one of the great white north best index or better put the stock markets in Canada. With all the rim news lately it’s drawn more attention to the TSX and we today we’ll take live TSX prices and give you our opinion of where or what the market may do

As always I love to look at the markets technically as that is my way of trading and assessing risk. This is just how I see the market and what trends we can take advantage of. The trend is your friend.  Let’s start at looking at the longer time frame to see what macro trends are in place or changing.

Let’s start with our horizontal line of support and resistance. The TSX just recently broke though long time resistance at the 12,750 level. You can see that this level was support way back in December of 2010 again in June of 2011 and finally broken through to the downside in August of that same year, since that time we have only managed to get to that level in March of last year and then falling back down. We have now broken through but the TSX has risen just over four percent in less than three months. Keep this in mind as we continue.

Continuing our stock market update we’ll go a little closer and look at the daily time frame to see if there are any good opportunities to initiate new positions.

When I look at the TSX Daily chart is see 100 point levels, like at the ACC. This is a very technical market when you can identify levels of support and resistance at even number price points,

Like:

12,500 – support

12,600 – support

12,700(ish) – Support

12,800  – Support

12,900 Resistance

So knowing that and seeing that the TSX closed as 12768 at the time of writing this, We’re at the perfect time of sit on your hands and wait to see what is tested first, support or resistance.

 

TSX Index Today| Live Charts To Asses Risk

In this week’s TSX Index Today Charts I’ll be going over the daily and weekly charts. It’s always imperative to have both a long term and short term outlook on the markets. The long term outlook or direction will influence what side of the trade you should be willing to take, Long term bullish you look for short term pullbacks and vice versa.

 
Looking at the long term TSX chart you can see that there was a long term down trend that started off the April 2011 high of 14,250. This down trend line was tested back in the spring of this year (April-March) only to fail and head further down in the summer months. Now it was in these summer months that our recent lows were put in thus starting what is now a visible up trend in the market. Our floor is now at the 11,250 point and the down trend line has been broken as we put in a new recent high at 12,500 in September.

Week TSX Chart

Week TSX Chart

We can now use our short term TSX Index Charts to see where our recent pullback will now be support.
Using the 11,300 recent low in July and the recent pullback to 11,800 we can now visualize the rising trend line that was apparent in the weekly chart above. What I have done is outline the recent trading range that we have jumped back into (in blue).Right now I would wait for a pull back to the support area of 12,200 level as that would offer the best risk/reward for new trades, if you do take a long position keep an eye on the recent eyes marked out in the box.

TSX Index Daily Chart

TSX Index Daily Chart

As always, use proper money management principles when trading and always asses your risk profile.

TSX Today and Bombardier

Today’s TSX video helps shape your trades for the week of October 23rd. See why you shouldn’t open any new long potions. If you’re a day trader you may want to look at opening some new shorts for this week only. It all depends on what your trade time frame is.

TSX Today Live

I tried my hand at some speech recognition software software to take the audio of this video and make it into a transcript but I found it to be easier to just Post today TSX Live video. I’ll give it another shot when I have time but I wanted to get this video out to you this evening. Again not much has changed in my outlook on the direction of the TSX we are still in a strand upward channel and that is bullish for the market. As described in the video I would not open any new long positions and if you have profits…realize them and take them.

TSX-Today-toronto stock exchange 10.8

You’ll never hurt yourself by taking a profit

Soon I will be getting into some dividend plays as requested by you so keep and eye out for some upcoming Canadian Dividend Stocks Post I may even have a top ten listing moving into the new year but I will wait for the US election to finalize and re-evaluate some macro economic outlooks based on who wins.

Election years are always good to set up a four year plan for stocks based on who wins, there is a lot of research out there that suggest which sectors will outperform based on which party wins. Since we have a little time in Canada before that happens it’s best to keep an eye out on our brother Nation

TSX Today Video Post | Toronto Stock Exchange

Today or tonight based on when you read this I just wanted to continue my video series of help you identify key levels in the TSX and where you should look to take profits, open positions and when to wait. I have also pointed out a new segment I will be following on the Globe and mail website called Strategy Labs Check it out here

Now you’ll be able to identify which kind of investor you are and how you can identify stock that will suit your style.